Of course, the coin flips for Clinton and Sanders in 2016 drew a lot of attention because the margins in Iowa were razor-thin.Įlection results from Iowa still aren’t in, so it’s unclear if these flips will become a matter of importance, but they certainly have already drawn voters’ ire. The ratio of Clinton to Sanders wins was closer to 50-50. Although it was frequently reported that Clinton won six of the six needed coin flips in 2016, the initial report, from the Des Moines Register, missed a few Sanders coin-toss wins, according to the Washington Post. The Clinton coin flips became a long-standing election conspiracy. The news outlet added that the use of a coin has “a long history in deciding close electoral contests in the U.S.” The Atlantic noted at the time that a coin flip was needed several times, with more than 12 delegates being awarded to candidates based on the flip of a coin. However, as the Des Moines Register points out, coin flips were also used to decide ties between Sanders and Hillary Clinton during the 2016 Iowa caucus. “50-50”: After tying with Amy Klobuchar, Pete Buttigieg wins the last delegate in an Iowa Caucus precinct…by winning a coin flip. Bernie team son - Ben Terris February 4, 2020 Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and former Vice President Joe Biden and between Sen. The coin toss /qvJ8ZHlsVk- John Pemble February 4, 2020 Moyer, The Washington Post Feb 2, 2016, 3:31 AM Democratic U.S. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), who were tied in the number of people caucusing for them. Hillary Clinton won at least 6 Iowa precincts by coin flip Jenny Starrs and Justin Wm. In at least one instance on Monday night, a coin flip decided the count between Pete Buttigieg and Sen. #IowaCaucuses /ze4qP4Pasj- Erica Pishdadian February 4, 2020 Me remembering that in 2020, a coin flip is still the official tiebreaking method. Eliminate candidates based on an arbitrary 15% thresholdĤ. Make people sit on floors & yell at each otherĤ. Discourage almost all the voters from showing upģ. Start with a very unrepresentative stateĢ. CJ Berina for Congress February 4, 2020ġ. Oops tails… looks like we get Donald.” That is not Democracy. Like “oh… it’s a tie… let’s just flip a coin to see if Hillary or Donald should be president. However, for Iowa caucuses, a coin flip decision is nothing new.īreaking delegate ties has always been done this way, and getting upset about it is just as important a tradition.Ĭoin tosses shouldn’t be the deciding factor of an election. Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.As people continue to wait for results from tonight’s Iowa caucuses, some people are bringing attention to results from the caucus that were decided by a coin flip. In a move that could have implications for a 2016 White House campaign, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton endorsed gay marriage on Monday, saying she supports it. KEYWORDS: clinton hillarycointoss iowa iowacaucus So bump that up to six coin flips, and your chances of winning them all are slim: But youâre only 25 percent likely to win two consecutive coin flips, because there are now twice as many possible outcomes. Youâre 50 percent likely to win one coin flip. The online study tool âCoin Toss Probability Calculatorâ has a really intense formula that explains why, but the bottom line is, the probabilities stack on each other. Heads or tails.īut the probably of winning every flip out of six flips is one in 64, or 1.56 percent. In a single coin toss, the probability of calling the toss correctly is 50 percent, or one in two. There may have been more coin tosses, but those are the ones we know about for now. In all six instances, the coin toss was won by former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton over Vermont Sen. He won six of those seven coin flipsa fact that underlines how incomplete the available data remains, and the likelihood that a full accounting of all the coin flips on Monday night would. Hillary Clinton Has The Most Statistically Improbable Coin-Toss Luck EverĭES MOINES, Iowa â One of the most bizarre details to emerge from Mondayâs Iowa caucuses was that in six Democratic counties, the ownership of six delegates was decided by a coin flip.Ī single delegate remained unassigned at the end of caucusing in two precincts in Des Moines, one precinct in Ames, one in Newton, one in West Branch and one in Davenport, The Des Moines Register reported.
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